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Climate change disproportionately affects the Arctic


Posted by in Mapping on Monday, January 25, 2016



This map, produced in conjunction with a global climate change study, shows global warming is disproportionately affecting the Arctic. (Map courtesy: Leduc et al)

The hottest year ever. By now you’re undoubtedly familiar with the recent report from the World Meteorological Organization that noted global average surface temperatures in 2015 were the warmest ever recorded, a whopping 0.76 C above the 1961-1990 average.

Of course, you may have also heard that Canada bucked the worldwide trend, with an average temperature just 0.1 C hotter than the average since 1947.

Regional differences in the impacts of global climate change are likely one of the primary factors for the discrepancy. Coincidentally, a new map (pictured), and the data associated with it, released in conjunction with a recent study published online by the journal Nature Climate Change, present stark evidence of the cumulative effect of carbon dioxide emissions on local temperature change in the last century.

As is clearly evident, the Arctic has generally experienced temperature increases of 4 to 6 C and much of the upper half of the northern hemisphere has experienced temperatures 1 to 2 C more than the global 1 C average in the past century per trillion tonnes of carbon.

Co-authored by Damon Matthews, a professor in the department of geography, planning and environment at Montreal’s Concordia University, post-doctoral researcher Martin Leduc and Ramón de Elía of Ouranos, a private, Montreal-based climate change research organization, the study combined the results of 12 different global climate models.

Beyond the sheer visual impact of the map and the results it shows, the study found that temperature increases in many regions of the world relate directly to cumulative emissions. It also concluded that there is a 2.2 C increase per trillion tonnes of carbon over land and a 1.4 C increase per trillion tonnes of carbon over ocean — results the researchers believe link human-made CO2 emissions to local-scale impact.




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